A
Andy
08 Sep 2018 18:30
Link
The next upgrade coming Monday, will increase the number of births again.
This means that the number of people in the 0 to 4 years old group should increase.
It is no guarantee that the population will immediately start growing. This depends also on the health index but also on death rates and it all depends on the distribution of your population in the various age groups.
If you have many in the 18 ti 40 groups, you will have more babies.
if you have many in the 55 to 80 groups, you will have many people dying.
We have also improved the model for computing natural death in all age groups.
we think this will help.
and we have repaired the computation of life expectancy.
we expect life expectancy numbers to go from where they are now (too high or too low), towards a true life expectancy number.
The change will be gradual and may take some time to stabilize.
As birth rates have a short term but mainly a longer term effect, we will now wait a little longer before we decide about a next step.
This means that the number of people in the 0 to 4 years old group should increase.
It is no guarantee that the population will immediately start growing. This depends also on the health index but also on death rates and it all depends on the distribution of your population in the various age groups.
If you have many in the 18 ti 40 groups, you will have more babies.
if you have many in the 55 to 80 groups, you will have many people dying.
We have also improved the model for computing natural death in all age groups.
we think this will help.
and we have repaired the computation of life expectancy.
we expect life expectancy numbers to go from where they are now (too high or too low), towards a true life expectancy number.
The change will be gradual and may take some time to stabilize.
As birth rates have a short term but mainly a longer term effect, we will now wait a little longer before we decide about a next step.